Threat Perception and Adaptive Capacity of Natural World Heritage Site Management

Climate change and extreme weather events are perceived as the most significant threats to natural and mixed World Heritage sites in economically advanced countries, with tropical climates and previously endangered sites facing higher risks. Management capacity is notably lower for climate-related threats compared to others, despite larger and more natural areas demonstrating stronger adaptive capabilities. This study analyzed data from UNESCO's 2014 Periodic Report II using an Ordered Probit model, revealing that perceptions of major threats are most pronounced in Turkey, Italy, Norway, and North America. The research highlights the urgent need for enhanced strategies to address climate-related vulnerabilities in World Heritage site management.

Falk, M. T., & Hagsten, E. (2023). Threat Perception and Adaptive Capacity of Natural World Heritage Site Management. Environmental Management, 71(2), 285–303. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-022-01780-y