World Heritage hot spots: a global model identifies the 16 natural heritage properties on the World Heritage List most at risk from climate change

A global model identifies 16 natural UNESCO World Heritage Sites most at risk from climate change, including islands, coastal properties, and mountainous regions. These sites, assessed using the World Heritage Vulnerability Index (WHVI), are likely to experience significant climactic changes within the next 40 years, potentially threatening their World Heritage status. The model integrates multi-model general circulation model ensembles, vulnerability assessments, and Human Influence Index (HII). Among the high-risk sites are the Pitons Management Area, Vallée de Mai, Aldabra, East Rennell, Teide, Laurisilva of Madeira, Isole Eloie, Morne Trois Pitons, Galapagos Islands, Everglades, Desembarco del Granma, High Coast and Kvarken Archipelago, Doñana, Brazilian Atlantic Islands, Ichkeul, and the Sunderbans. The study highlights adaptive strategies for proactive climate change adaptation in these vulnerable properties.

Perry, J. (2011). World Heritage hot spots: a global model identifies the 16 natural heritage properties on the World Heritage List most at risk from climate change. International Journal of Heritage Studies, 17(5), 426–441. https://doi.org/10.1080/13527258.2011.568064