Climate change scenarios applied to viticultural zoning in Europe

Climate change is projected to significantly alter European viticultural zoning, with detrimental effects on winegrowing in southern Europe due to increased dryness and thermal stress during the growing season. Conversely, western and central Europe may see benefits in wine quality and expansion of potential viticultural areas, though disease risks could pose challenges. The study used regional climate model simulations (COSMO-CLM) under IPCC-SRES scenarios (B1 and A1B) to assess shifts in seven bioclimatic indices that describe viticultural suitability. By comparing index maps from 1960–2000 with projections for the 21st century, researchers highlighted the need for adaptation strategies, such as changing grape varieties or implementing irrigation, to mitigate adverse impacts and capitalize on new opportunities.

Malheiro, A., Santos, J., Fraga, H., & Pinto, J. (2010). Climate change scenarios applied to viticultural zoning in Europe. Climate Research, 43(3), 163–177. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00918