Distribución potencial actual y futura e identificación de áreas aptas para la conservación de Cedrela odorata L. en la península de Yucatán

Climate change threatens to reduce the suitable habitat for red cedar (Cedrela odorata L.) by 31–44.8% across the Yucatán Peninsula, but protected areas like Calakmul, Los Petenes, and Ría Celestún could serve as climate refuges, conserving approximately 76,472 hectares of critical habitat. Researchers used MaxEnt modeling with current and future climate scenarios to identify high-potential regions for seed production and conservation. Key environmental variables—such as vegetation type, precipitation patterns, soil conditions, temperature, and slope—significantly influenced the species' distribution. This study highlights the importance of protected areas in mitigating climate-driven habitat loss and supports targeted conservation strategies.

Manzanilla-Quijada, G. E., Treviño-Garza, E. J., Aguirre-Calderón, O. A., Yerena-Yamallel, J. I., & Manzanilla-Quiñones, U. (2020). Current and future potential distribution and identification of suitable areas for the conservation of Cedrela odorata L. in the Yucatan Peninsula. Revista Chapingo Serie Ciencias Forestales Y Del Ambiente, 26(3). https://doi.org/10.5154/r.rchscfa.2019.10.075