Andong Hahoe Cultural Village Demand Forecasting Model by Using Bass Diffusion Model


World Heritage Site: Historic Villages of Korea: Hahoe and Yangdong

Publication Year: 2021

Publication Type: Article

Publication Identifier: WHE3CEF0B4F9F

Summary

A demand forecasting model for Andong Hahoe Cultural Village demonstrates significant potential using the Bass Diffusion Model. The study found that visitor diffusion aligns positively with the model's logic, as innovation coefficients were lower than imitation coefficients, indicating healthy market growth. Predictive accuracy was high, with peak demand periods closely matching actual data. This suggests the model is robust for tourism demand forecasting in heritage sites. Policy recommendations emphasize optimizing promotional efficiency and strategically targeting new markets to sustain visitor numbers during the rejuvenation phase of Hahoe's lifecycle.

Citation

Sojin, P., & Wiijoo, Y. (2021). Andong Hahoe Cultural Village Demand Forecasting Model by Using Bass Diffusion Model. International Journal of Tourism Management and Sciences, 36(7), 97–107. https://doi.org/10.21719/ijtms.36.7.6

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