Calakmul como refugio de Swietenia macrophylla King ante el cambio climático

By 2030, climate change will shrink the suitable habitat of Swietenia macrophylla—a prized hardwood known as ‘green gold’—by 60 % across the Yucatán Peninsula and neighboring countries. The only major refuge left is Calakmul’s Biosphere Reserve, where seed collection and ex-situ planting can help re-acclimate populations to future conditions. Researchers combined field records with MaxEnt species-distribution modeling under a mid-range greenhouse-gas scenario (RCP 6.0), projecting dramatic range contraction in Quintana Roo while identifying Calakmul as the last stronghold for conservation.

Garza-López, M., Ortega-Rodríguez, J. M., Zamudio-Sánchez, F. J., López-Toledo, J. F., Domínguez-Álvarez, F. A., & Sáenz-Romero, C. (2016). Calakmul como refugio de Swietenia macrophylla King ante el cambio climático. Botanical Sciences, 94(1), 43–50. https://doi.org/10.17129/botsci.500